World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round | 2nd Leg

Jun 16, 2021 at 2.30am UK

Estadio Cuscatlán

El Salvador
2 - 0
Saint Kitts

(El Salvador win 6-0 on aggregate)

Perez (24', 24'), Mayen (87')
Gomez (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Williams (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying clash between El Salvador and Saint Kitts and Nevis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.

Result
El Salvador	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
48.32%	23.39%	28.29%

Both teams to score 60.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.82%

41.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.43%

63.57%

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.74%

17.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.42%

47.58%

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.59%

27.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.11%

62.88%

Score Analysis

El Salvador 48.32%

Saint Kitts and Nevis 28.29%

Draw 23.38%

El Salvador	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 5.53% 3-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.99% Total : 48.32%	1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 6.96% 0-1 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.29%

How you voted: El Salvador vs Saint Kitts

El Salvador

63.6%

Draw

0.0%

Saint Kitts and Nevis

36.4%