Mexico national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jul 25, 2021 at 3am UK
 
Honduras national football team

Mexico
3 - 0
Honduras

Funes Mori (26'), dos Santos (31'), Pineda (38')
Gallardo (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Acosta (35'), Flores (58'), Garcia (60'), Fabricio Rojas Lazo (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Mexico and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.32%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawHonduras
60.5%25.1%14.4%
Both teams to score 36.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.14%62.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.63%82.37%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08%20.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36%53.64%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.85%54.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.63%87.37%
Score Analysis
    Mexico 60.49%
    Honduras 14.4%
    Draw 25.09%
MexicoDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 17.72%
2-0 @ 13.86%
2-1 @ 8.5%
3-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 4.44%
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 60.49%
0-0 @ 11.32%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 2.61%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 6.95%
1-2 @ 3.33%
0-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 14.4%