USA national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
Canada national football team

USA
1 - 0
Canada

Moore (1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between USA and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Canada had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawCanada
46.47%24.12%29.41%
Both teams to score 58.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13%43.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75%66.25%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97%19.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39%50.61%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72%28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35%63.65%
Score Analysis
    USA 46.47%
    Canada 29.41%
    Draw 24.12%
USADrawCanada
2-1 @ 9.34%
1-0 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 46.47%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 7.16%
0-1 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.41%

How you voted: USA vs Canada

USA
73.0%
Draw
18.0%
Canada
9.0%
100