USA national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Final
Aug 2, 2021 at 1.30am UK
 
Mexico national football team

USA
1 - 0
Mexico

Robinson (117')
Acosta (113')
FT
(aet)

Herrera (72'), Gallardo (114'), Alvarez (117')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between USA and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%).

Result
USADrawMexico
40.13%23.72%36.15%
Both teams to score 62.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39%39.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.04%61.96%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97%20.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.75%52.25%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03%21.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.74%55.26%
Score Analysis
    USA 40.13%
    Mexico 36.15%
    Draw 23.72%
USADrawMexico
2-1 @ 8.62%
1-0 @ 7.08%
2-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-2 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 40.13%
1-1 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.4%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-1 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.56%
2-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.15%

rhs 2.0


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