CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2021 at 2.30am UK
Stade Pierre Aliker de Dillon
USA national football team

Martinique
1 - 6
USA

Riviere (64' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dike (14', 59'), Camille (23' og.), Robinson (50'), Zardes (70'), Gioacchini (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Martinique and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Martinique had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Martinique win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
MartiniqueDrawUSA
32.3%24.16%43.54%
Both teams to score 59.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.33%42.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93%65.06%
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45%25.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58%60.41%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21%19.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.15%51.84%
Score Analysis
    Martinique 32.3%
    USA 43.54%
    Draw 24.15%
MartiniqueDrawUSA
2-1 @ 7.63%
1-0 @ 6.9%
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.3%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 9.05%
0-1 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 4.89%
0-3 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 3.34%
1-4 @ 1.98%
0-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 43.54%

How you voted: Martinique vs USA

Martinique
10.0%
Draw
6.0%
USA
84.0%
50
rhs 2.0


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