World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Sep 9, 2021 at 3.30am UK

Estadio Olimpico Metropolitano

Honduras
1 - 4
USA

Josue Velasquez Moya (27')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Robinson (48'), Pepi (75'), Aaronson (86'), Lletget (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Honduras and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Honduras win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
Honduras	Draw	USA
27.95%	25.5%	46.55%

Both teams to score 52.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.33%

50.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.42%

72.58%

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.44%

32.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9%

69.1%

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.23%

21.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.04%

54.96%

Score Analysis

Honduras 27.95%

USA 46.54%

Draw 25.49%

Honduras	Draw	USA
1-0 @ 7.95% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.58% Total : 27.95%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 9.25% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.34% Total : 46.54%