Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Guadeloupe win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Jamaica |
| 35.62% | 25.67% | 38.71% |
| Both teams to score 55.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.24% | 48.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.14% | 70.86% |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% | 26.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.33% | 61.67% |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% | 24.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.68% | 59.32% |
| Score Analysis |
Guadeloupe 35.62%
Jamaica 38.71%
Draw 25.66%
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Jamaica |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 3.95% 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.04% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.71% |
How you voted: Guadeloupe vs Jamaica
Guadeloupe
10.9%Draw
14.1%Jamaica
75.0%64


