CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 12, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
Independence Park
Jamaica2 - 0Suriname
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Suriname had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest Suriname win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Suriname |
| 41.43% | 22.75% | 35.82% |
| Both teams to score 66.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
