Costa Rica national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 13, 2021 at 2am UK
Exploria Stadium

Costa Rica
3 - 1
Guadeloupe

Campbell (6'), Lassiter (21'), Borges (70')
Waston (40'), Lassiter (45+4'), Matarrita (77'), Venegas (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Raphael Mirval (45+5')
Solvet (28'), Phaeton (84')
Solvet (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Costa Rica and Guadeloupe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Costa RicaDrawGuadeloupe
20.33%24.2%55.47%
Both teams to score 48.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.84%52.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.13%73.87%
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.75%40.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.12%76.88%
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31%18.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97%50.03%
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 20.33%
    Guadeloupe 55.46%
    Draw 24.2%
Costa RicaDrawGuadeloupe
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-1 @ 5.23%
2-0 @ 3.12%
3-1 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.33%
3-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 20.33%
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 7.52%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 12.61%
0-2 @ 10.58%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-3 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 5.38%
0-4 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 2.26%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 55.46%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Guadeloupe

Costa Rica
38.2%
Draw
30.3%
Guadeloupe
31.6%
76