World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Oct 11, 2021 at 12am UK

Mexico
3 - 0
Honduras

Cordova (18'), Funes Mori (76'), Lozano (86')
Montes (12')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Antonio Pereira Rodriguez (21'), Acosta (45+2')
Figueroa (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Mexico and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 64.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 9.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.82%) and 3-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.13%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Honduras
64.87%	25.51%	9.62%

Both teams to score 25.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.31%

70.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.33%

87.67%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49%

22.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92%

56.08%

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

32.77%

67.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.08%

93.92%

Score Analysis

Mexico 64.85%

Honduras 9.62%

Draw 25.51%

Mexico	Draw	Honduras
1-0 @ 22.56% 2-0 @ 16.82% 3-0 @ 8.36% 2-1 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 3.32% 4-0 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.83% Total : 64.85%	0-0 @ 15.13% 1-1 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.09% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 6.01% 1-2 @ 1.78% 0-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.64% Total : 9.62%

How you voted: Mexico vs Honduras

Mexico

91.4%

Draw

5.7%

Honduras

2.9%