Costa Rica vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mexico in this match.