Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mexico in this match.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Mexico |
| 24.8% | 26.01% | 49.19% |
| Both teams to score 48.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.23% | 54.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.92% | 76.09% |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.62% | 37.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.84% | 74.16% |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% | 22.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% | 55.76% |
| Score Analysis |
Costa Rica 24.8%
Mexico 49.19%
Draw 26%
| Costa Rica | Draw | Mexico |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% 2-1 @ 6.06% 2-0 @ 4.04% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.49% 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.8% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 12.5% 0-2 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-3 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.19% |
How you voted: Costa Rica vs Mexico
Costa Rica
7.0%Draw
18.6%Mexico
74.4%43


