World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Sep 9, 2021 at 1.05am UK

Panama
1 - 1
Mexico

Blackburn (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Corona (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Panama and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Panama had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Panama win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Panama	Draw	Mexico
23.44%	24.71%	51.85%

Both teams to score 51.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.11%

50.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.23%

72.76%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.54%

36.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.76%

73.24%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.39%

19.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.44%

51.56%

Score Analysis

Panama 23.44%

Mexico 51.84%

Draw 24.71%

Panama	Draw	Mexico
1-0 @ 7.21% 2-1 @ 5.93% 2-0 @ 3.64% 3-1 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.82% Total : 23.44%	1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.71%	0-1 @ 11.64% 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 9.49% 1-3 @ 5.2% 0-3 @ 5.15% 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 2.12% 0-4 @ 2.1% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.89% Total : 51.84%

How you voted: Panama vs Mexico

Panama

14.2%

Draw

17.7%

Mexico

68.1%