World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 8, 2021 2.40am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jorge Sanchez 21' goal
  • Jesus Corona 57' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Osorio 42'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 55'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 57'
  • yellowcard Tajon Buchanan 68'
  • yellowcard Steven Vitoria 83'

Mexico vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Sep 9, 2021 1.05am
Panama 1 - 1 Mexico

Canada

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Sep 9, 2021 12.30am
Canada 3 - 0 El Salvador

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Canada had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.51%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Mexico 61.32%
Draw 24.07%
Canada 14.61%

Both Teams to Score: 

39%

Goals

Over 2.5 40.62%
Under 2.5 59.38%
Over 3.5 20.23%
Under 3.5 79.76%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 80.77%
Under 0.5 19.22%
Over 1.5 49.08%
Under 1.5 50.92%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 48.28%
Under 0.5 51.72%
Over 1.5 14.18%
Under 1.5 85.82%

Score analysis

Mexico 61.3%
Draw 24.06%
Canada 14.61%
Mexico
1-0 @ 16.39%
2-0 @ 13.51%
2-1 @ 8.91%
3-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 4.9%
4-0 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.62%
5-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 61.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 2.94%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 24.06%
Canada
0-1 @ 6.55%
1-2 @ 3.56%
0-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 14.61%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 30, 2021 3.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT NRG Stadium
  • Orbelin Pineda 45'+2' goal
  • Erick Gutierrez 68' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gallardo 79' yellowcard
  • Hector Herrera 90'+9' goal
  • yellowcard Doneil Henry 45'
  • yellowcard Tajon Buchanan 49'
  • yellowcard Junior Hoilett 49'
  • goal Tajon Buchanan 57'
  • yellowcard Maxime Crepeau 90'+12'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 20, 2019 3.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Broncos Stadium at Mile High, Denver
  • Roberto Alvarado 40' goal
  • Andres Guardado 54' goal
  • Andres Guardado 77' goal
  • goal Lucas Cavallini 75'
  • yellowcard Mark Kaye 79'