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Mexico national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 8, 2021 at 2.40am UK
 
Canada national football team

Mexico
1 - 1
Canada

Sanchez (21')
Corona (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Osorio (42')
Eustaquio (55'), Laryea (57'), Buchanan (68'), Vitoria (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Mexico and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Canada had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.51%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
MexicoDrawCanada
61.32%24.07%14.61%
Both teams to score 39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.62%59.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.23%79.76%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77%19.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08%50.92%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.28%51.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.18%85.82%
Score Analysis
    Mexico 61.3%
    Canada 14.61%
    Draw 24.06%
MexicoDrawCanada
1-0 @ 16.39%
2-0 @ 13.51%
2-1 @ 8.91%
3-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 4.9%
4-0 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.62%
5-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 61.3%
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 2.94%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.55%
1-2 @ 3.56%
0-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 14.61%

How you voted: Mexico vs Canada

Mexico
75.8%
Draw
11.6%
Canada
12.6%
95