World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Sep 9, 2021 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Canada
3 - 0
El Salvador

Hutchinson (6'), David (11'), Buchanan (59')
Buchanan (18'), Adekugbe (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vidal Larin Hernandez (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Canada and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 19.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
Canada	Draw	El Salvador
58.45%	22.23%	19.33%

Both teams to score 53.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.64%

45.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.31%

67.7%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.8%

15.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.16%

43.84%

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.6%

37.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.81%

74.19%

Score Analysis

Canada 58.44%

El Salvador 19.33%

Draw 22.22%

Canada	Draw	El Salvador
1-0 @ 10.71% 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 6.23% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.51% Total : 58.44%	1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.22%	0-1 @ 5.59% 1-2 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.61% Total : 19.33%