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World Cup

Jamaica national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Feb 3, 2022 at 12am UK
Independence Park
Costa Rica national football team

Jamaica
0 - 1
Costa Rica


Williams (13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Campbell (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Jamaica and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 40.64%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 29.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
JamaicaDrawCosta Rica
40.64%30.27%29.08%
Both teams to score 40.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.26%66.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.91%85.09%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65%32.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.14%68.86%
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.58%40.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.96%77.04%
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 40.64%
    Costa Rica 29.08%
    Draw 30.26%
JamaicaDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 14.75%
2-0 @ 8.33%
2-1 @ 7.54%
3-0 @ 3.13%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 40.64%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 13.07%
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.26%
0-1 @ 11.84%
1-2 @ 6.05%
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 29.08%

How you voted: Jamaica vs Costa Rica

Jamaica
21.1%
Draw
14.1%
Costa Rica
64.8%
71