World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Jan 30, 2022 at 10.05pm UK

Panama
3 - 2
Jamaica

Brown (43' og.), Davis (51'), Mello (69')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Antonio (5' pen.), Gray (87')
Morrison (45'), Pinnock (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Panama and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Panama	Draw	Jamaica
42.21%	26.17%	31.62%

Both teams to score 52.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.26%

51.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.49%

73.51%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71%

24.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34%

58.65%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54%

30.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.33%

66.67%

Score Analysis

Panama 42.2%

Jamaica 31.62%

Draw 26.16%

Panama	Draw	Jamaica
1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.7% Total : 42.2%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 2.07% Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.62%

How you voted: Panama vs Jamaica

Panama

70.4%

Draw

14.8%

Jamaica