World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Jan 30, 2022 10.05pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Javain Brown 43' goal
  • Erick Davis 51' goal
  • Anibal Mello 69' goal
  • goal Michail Antonio 5'
  • yellowcard Ravel Morrison 45'
  • goal Andre Gray 87'
  • yellowcard Ethan Pinnock 90'+4'

Panama vs Jamaica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Jan 28, 2022 2.05am
Costa Rica 1 - 0 Panama

Jamaica

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Jan 28, 2022 12.00am
Jamaica 1 - 2 Mexico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result

Panama 42.21%
Draw 26.17%
Jamaica 31.62%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.65%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.26%
Under 2.5 51.74%
Over 3.5 26.49%
Under 3.5 73.51%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5 75.71%
Under 0.5 24.28%
Over 1.5 41.34%
Under 1.5 58.65%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5 69.54%
Under 0.5 30.46%
Over 1.5 33.33%
Under 1.5 66.67%

Score analysis

Panama 42.2%
Draw 26.16%
Jamaica 31.62%
Panama
1-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 5.24%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.16%
Jamaica
0-1 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.62%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sep 5, 2021 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Independence Park
  • Shamar Nicholson 89' yellowcard
  • Shamar Nicholson 89' yellowcard
  • goal Andres Andrade 14'
  • goal Andres Andrade 14'
  • goal Rolando Blackburn 39'
  • goal Rolando Blackburn 39'
  • goal Cecilio Waterman Ruiz 82'
  • goal Cecilio Waterman Ruiz 82'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 30, 2019 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
  • Michael Hector 49' yellowcard
  • Darren Mattocks 75' goal
  • Damion Lowe 90' yellowcard
  • Shamar Nicholson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoel Barcenas 86'