World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Oct 8, 2021 at 3.05am UK

El Salvador
1 - 0
Panama

Hernandez (37')
Pineda (74'), Punyed (86'), Punyed (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Godoy (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between El Salvador and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Panama had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for El Salvador in this match.

Result
El Salvador	Draw	Panama
45.89%	26.34%	27.77%

Both teams to score 50.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.89%

54.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46%

75.53%

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.47%

23.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.42%

57.57%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.48%

34.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.76%

71.24%

Score Analysis

El Salvador 45.89%

Panama 27.77%

Draw 26.34%

El Salvador	Draw	Panama
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.89%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.64% 1-2 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.2% Total : 27.77%