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World Cup

Canada national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 14, 2021 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Panama national football team

Canada
4 - 1
Panama

Murillo (28' og.), Davies (66'), Buchanan (71'), David (78')
Brym (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Blackburn (5')
Davis (26'), Murillo (31'), Cooper (54'), Godoy (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Canada and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Panama had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
CanadaDrawPanama
60.03%22.37%17.6%
Both teams to score 49.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45%48.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.33%70.68%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24%15.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.11%44.89%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.77%41.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.24%77.77%
Score Analysis
    Canada 60.02%
    Panama 17.6%
    Draw 22.36%
CanadaDrawPanama
1-0 @ 12%
2-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 9.83%
3-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 6.05%
4-0 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.17%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 6.5%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.76%
1-2 @ 4.71%
0-2 @ 2.55%
1-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 17.6%

How you voted: Canada vs Panama

Canada
72.9%
Draw
15.3%
Panama
11.8%
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