World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 14, 2021 12.30am
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Michael Murillo 28' goal
  • Alphonso Davies 66' goal
  • Tajon Buchanan 71' goal
  • Jonathan David 78' goal
  • Charles-Andreas Brym 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Rolando Blackburn 5'
  • yellowcard Erick Davis 26'
  • yellowcard Michael Murillo 31'
  • yellowcard Armando Cooper 54'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 90'+5'

Canada vs Panama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Oct 10, 2021 11.00pm
Jamaica 0 - 0 Canada

Panama

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Oct 10, 2021 11.00pm
Panama 1 - 0 USA

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Panama had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result

Canada 60.03%
Draw 22.37%
Panama 17.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.45%
Under 2.5 48.55%
Over 3.5 29.33%
Under 3.5 70.68%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 84.24%
Under 0.5 15.77%
Over 1.5 55.11%
Under 1.5 44.89%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5 58.77%
Under 0.5 41.24%
Over 1.5 22.24%
Under 1.5 77.77%

Score analysis

Canada 60.02%
Draw 22.36%
Panama 17.6%
Canada
1-0 @ 12%
2-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 9.83%
3-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 6.05%
4-0 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.17%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 60.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 6.5%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.36%
Panama
0-1 @ 5.76%
1-2 @ 4.71%
0-2 @ 2.55%
1-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 17.6%