World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Nov 17, 2021 at 1.05am UK

Panama
2 - 1
El Salvador

Waterman Ruiz (50'), Gondola (52')
Fajardo (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Henriquez (1')
Balmore Landaverde Alvarez (6'), Landaverde (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Panama and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Panama	Draw	El Salvador
54.64%	23.91%	21.45%

Both teams to score 51.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.3%

49.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.29%

71.71%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.92%

18.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51%

48.99%

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.3%

37.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.53%

74.47%

Score Analysis

Panama 54.64%

El Salvador 21.45%

Draw 23.91%

Panama	Draw	El Salvador
1-0 @ 11.65% 2-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.4% Total : 54.64%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.91%	0-1 @ 6.65% 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.61% Total : 21.45%

How you voted: Panama vs El Salvador

Panama

67.7%

Draw

12.9%

El Salvador

19.4%