World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Nov 13, 2021 at 2.05am UK

El Salvador
1 - 1
Jamaica

Roldan (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Antonio (82')
Grant (42'), Bailey (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between El Salvador and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
El Salvador	Draw	Jamaica
42.14%	25.51%	32.34%

Both teams to score 55.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.25%

48.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.15%

70.84%

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99%

23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19%

56.8%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.51%

28.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.74%

64.25%

Score Analysis

El Salvador 42.14%

Jamaica 32.34%

Draw 25.51%

El Salvador	Draw	Jamaica
1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.14%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 8.23% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.34%

How you voted: El Salvador vs Jamaica

El Salvador

30.0%

Draw

18.3%

Jamaica

51.7%