World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 13, 2021 at 2.05am UK
El Salvador1 - 1Jamaica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| El Salvador | Draw | Jamaica |
| 42.14% | 25.51% | 32.34% |
| Both teams to score 55.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
