World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 14, 2021 3.05am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Isaac Portillo 37' yellowcard
  • Mario Alberto Jacobo Segovia 48' redcard
  • Mario Jacobo 48' redcard
  • yellowcard Hirving Lozano 27'
  • goal Hector Moreno 30'
  • yellowcard Nestor Araujo 56'
  • redcard Nestor Araujo 67'
  • yellowcard Hector Moreno 75'
  • yellowcard Raul Jimenez 78'
  • goal Raul Jimenez 90'+3'

El Salvador vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

El Salvador

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Oct 10, 2021 11.05pm
Costa Rica 2 - 1 El Salvador

Mexico

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Oct 11, 2021 12.00am
Mexico 3 - 0 Honduras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a El Salvador win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result

El Salvador 23.02%
Draw 25.87%
Mexico 51.1%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.24%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.29%
Under 2.5 55.71%
Over 3.5 23.15%
Under 3.5 76.85%

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5 60.45%
Under 0.5 39.54%
Over 1.5 23.77%
Under 1.5 76.23%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 78.14%
Under 0.5 21.86%
Over 1.5 44.91%
Under 1.5 55.09%

Score analysis

El Salvador 23.02%
Draw 25.87%
Mexico 51.1%
El Salvador
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-1 @ 5.66%
2-0 @ 3.72%
3-1 @ 1.75%
3-2 @ 1.33%
3-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 23.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 8.64%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.87%
Mexico
0-1 @ 13.14%
0-2 @ 9.99%
1-2 @ 9.27%
0-3 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 4.7%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-4 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 51.1%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 19, 2021 3.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luis Rodriguez 26' goal
  • Luis Rodriguez 70' yellowcard
  • Carlos Salcedo 70' yellowcard
  • Alan Pulido 78' yellowcard
  • Hector Herrera 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darwin Ceren 2'
  • yellowcard Narciso Orellana 63'