World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Oct 14, 2021 at 3.05am UK

El Salvador
0 - 2
Mexico

Portillo (37')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moreno (30'), Jimenez (90+3' pen.)
Lozano (27'), Araujo (56'), Moreno (75'), Jimenez (78')
Araujo (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between El Salvador and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a El Salvador win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
El Salvador	Draw	Mexico
23.02%	25.87%	51.1%

Both teams to score 47.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.29%

55.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.15%

76.85%

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.45%

39.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.77%

76.23%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.14%

21.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.91%

55.09%

Score Analysis

El Salvador 23.02%

Mexico 51.1%

Draw 25.87%

El Salvador	Draw	Mexico
1-0 @ 8.02% 2-1 @ 5.66% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.33% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.4% Total : 23.02%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 13.14% 0-2 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-3 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 4.7% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.04% Total : 51.1%

How you voted: El Salvador vs Mexico

El Salvador

11.3%

Draw

5.2%

Mexico

83.5%