World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Oct 10, 2021 at 11.05pm UK

Costa Rica
2 - 1
El Salvador

Ruiz (52'), Borges (57' pen.)
Borges (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Henriquez (12')
Marcelo Diaz (46'), Dominguez (63')
Orellana (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Costa Rica and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Costa Rica in this match.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	El Salvador
44.17%	24.44%	31.4%

Both teams to score 58.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69%

44.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31%

66.69%

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81%

20.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.5%

52.5%

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.09%

26.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.76%

62.24%

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 44.17%

El Salvador 31.4%

Draw 24.43%

Costa Rica	Draw	El Salvador
2-1 @ 9.13% 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.91% Total : 44.17%	1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.4%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs El Salvador

Costa Rica

46.2%

Draw

34.6%

El Salvador

19.2%