World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Nov 16, 2021 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Je-Vaughn Watson 8' yellowcard
  • Michail Antonio 22' goal
  • Javain Brown 40' yellowcard
  • goal Timothy Weah 11'

Jamaica vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Nov 13, 2021 2.05am
El Salvador 1 - 1 Jamaica

USA

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Nov 13, 2021 2.10am
USA 2 - 0 Mexico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Jamaica 36.48%
Draw 25.71%
USA 37.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.21%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.08%
Under 2.5 48.92%
Over 3.5 28.99%
Under 3.5 71.01%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5 73.94%
Under 0.5 26.06%
Over 1.5 38.89%
Under 1.5 61.1%

USA Goals

Over 0.5 74.67%
Under 0.5 25.32%
Over 1.5 39.89%
Under 1.5 60.1%

Score analysis

Jamaica 36.48%
Draw 25.71%
USA 37.8%
Jamaica
1-0 @ 8.87%
2-1 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 36.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.6%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
USA
0-1 @ 9.06%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.22%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 37.8%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 8, 2021 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ricardo Pepi 49' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 62' goal
  • yellowcard Kemar Lawrence 1'
  • yellowcard Jamal Lowe 34'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 26, 2021 2.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT AT&T Stadium
  • Matthew Hoppe 83' goal
  • yellowcard Cory Burke 30'
  • yellowcard Blair Turgott 50'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 89'
International Friendlies
Mar 25, 2021 5.20pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Wiener Neustadter Stadion
  • Sergino Dest 34' goal
  • Reggie Cannon 48' yellowcard
  • Brenden Aaronson 53' goal
  • Sebastian Lletget 83' goal
  • Sebastian Lletget 90' goal
  • goal Jamal Lowe 71'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 4, 2019 2.00am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Nissan Stadium
  • Je-Vaughn Watson 39' yellowcard
  • Junior Flemmings 43' yellowcard
  • Peter-Lee Vassell 49' yellowcard
  • Shamar Nicholson 69' goal
  • goal Weston McKennie 9'
  • yellowcard Weston McKennie 31'
  • yellowcard Jozy Altidore 43'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 52'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 87'
International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2019 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Audi Field (Washington, District of Columbia)
  • goal Shamar Nicholson 60'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 22, 2015 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Georgia Dome, Atlanta
  • Michael Bradley 48' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 89' yellowcard
  • goal Darren Mattocks 31'
  • goal Giles Barnes 35'