Costa Rica national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Jan 28, 2022 at 2.05am UK
 
Panama national football team

Costa Rica
1 - 0
Panama

Ruiz (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Costa Rica and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Panama had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
Costa RicaDrawPanama
42.93%24.11%32.96%
Both teams to score 60.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79%42.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39%64.61%
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13%19.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03%51.97%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06%24.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43%59.56%
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 42.93%
    Panama 32.96%
    Draw 24.1%
Costa RicaDrawPanama
2-1 @ 8.99%
1-0 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.93%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-1 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 4.78%
1-3 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.96%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Panama

Costa Rica
34.4%
Draw
18.8%
Panama
46.9%
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