World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Jan 28, 2022 at 2.05am UK

Costa Rica
1 - 0
Panama

Ruiz (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Costa Rica and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Panama had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Panama
42.93%	24.11%	32.96%

Both teams to score 60.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79%

42.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.39%

64.61%

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13%

19.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.03%

51.97%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06%

24.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43%

59.56%

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 42.93%

Panama 32.96%

Draw 24.1%

Costa Rica	Draw	Panama
2-1 @ 8.99% 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 3.36% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.06% Total : 42.93%	1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 7.72% 0-1 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.96%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Panama

Costa Rica

34.4%

Draw

18.8%

Panama

46.9%