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World Cup

Mexico national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Feb 3, 2022 at 3am UK
 
Panama national football team

Mexico
1 - 0
Panama

Jimenez (80' pen.)
Herrera (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Davis (89'), Fajardo (90'), Cooper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Mexico and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Panama had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result
MexicoDrawPanama
60.53%23.74%15.73%
Both teams to score 42.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.41%56.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.43%77.57%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54%18.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35%49.65%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.56%48.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.45%83.55%
Score Analysis
    Mexico 60.52%
    Panama 15.73%
    Draw 23.74%
MexicoDrawPanama
1-0 @ 15.1%
2-0 @ 12.76%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 5.21%
4-0 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.89%
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 60.52%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.48%
1-2 @ 3.97%
0-2 @ 2.35%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 15.73%

How you voted: Mexico vs Panama

Mexico
70.6%
Draw
15.7%
Panama
13.7%
102
rhs 2.0


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