World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mar 25, 2022 2.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Edson Alvarez 21' yellowcard
  • Henry Martin 39' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 9'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 26'
  • yellowcard Timothy Weah 39'

Mexico vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Feb 3, 2022 3.00am
Mexico 1 - 0 Panama

USA

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Feb 3, 2022 12.30am
USA 3 - 0 Honduras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for USA had a probability of 23.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a USA win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Mexico 50.21%
Draw 26.74%
USA 23.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.95%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.28%
Under 2.5 58.72%
Over 3.5 20.75%
Under 3.5 79.25%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 76.48%
Under 0.5 23.52%
Over 1.5 42.43%
Under 1.5 57.57%

USA Goals

Over 0.5 58.78%
Under 0.5 41.22%
Over 1.5 22.25%
Under 1.5 77.76%

Score analysis

Mexico 50.2%
Draw 26.73%
USA 23.05%
Mexico
1-0 @ 14.03%
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9%
3-0 @ 4.9%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 50.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 9.7%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.73%
USA
0-1 @ 8.59%
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.18%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 23.05%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Nov 13, 2021 2.10am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Miles Robinson 59' yellowcard
  • Zack Steffen 68' yellowcard
  • Weston McKennie 68' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 74' goal
  • Weston McKennie 85' goal
  • Miles Robinson 89' redcard
  • yellowcard Luis Romo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Luis Rodriguez 68'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Aug 2, 2021 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
ET
  • Kellyn Acosta 113' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 117' goal
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 72'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 114'
  • yellowcard Edson Alvarez 117'
International Friendlies
Sep 7, 2019 1.30am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, New Jersey)
  • Aaron Long 45' yellowcard
  • Alfredo Morales 58' yellowcard
  • goal Javier Hernandez 21'
  • yellowcard Jorge Sanchez 58'
  • yellowcard Javier Hernandez 74'
  • goal Erick Gutierrez 78'
  • goal Carlos Uriel 82'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 8, 2019 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field, Chicago
  • Jonathan dos Santos 73' goal
International Friendlies
Sep 12, 2018 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nissan Stadium (Nashville, Tennessee)
  • Matt Miazga 38' yellowcard
  • Tyler Adams 71' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 88' yellowcard
  • Bobby Wood 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edson Alvarez 66'
  • redcard Angel Zaldivar 67'