Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for USA had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a USA win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.