World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
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Antonee Robinson
52'
USA vs El Salvador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 63.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 14.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.21%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for USA in this match.
Result
USA
63.53%
Draw
22.35%
El Salvador
14.12%
Both Teams to Score:
42.27%
Goals
Over 2.5
45.74%
Under 2.5
54.26%
Over 3.5
24.35%
Under 3.5
75.65%
USA Goals
Over 0.5
83.45%
Under 0.5
16.55%
Over 1.5
53.67%
Under 1.5
46.33%
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5
50.65%
Under 0.5
49.35%
Over 1.5
15.8%
Under 1.5
84.2%
Score analysis
USA
63.53%
Draw
22.34%
El Salvador
14.12%
USA
1-0
@
14.69%
2-0 @ 13.21%
2-1 @ 9.33%
3-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 5.59%
4-0 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.98%
5-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 63.53%
2-0 @ 13.21%
2-1 @ 9.33%
3-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 5.59%
4-0 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.98%
5-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 63.53%
Draw
1-1
@
10.37%
0-0 @ 8.17%
2-2 @ 3.3%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.34%
0-0 @ 8.17%
2-2 @ 3.3%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.34%
El Salvador
0-1
@
5.77%
1-2 @ 3.66%
0-2 @ 2.04%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 14.12%
1-2 @ 3.66%
0-2 @ 2.04%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 14.12%
Head to Head
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
-
Marvin Monterroza
40'
-
Weston McKennie
66'
-
DeAndre Yedlin
68'
International Friendlies
-
Paul Arriola
17'
-
Christopher Mueller
20'
-
Sebastian Lletget
23'
-
Christopher Mueller
25'
-
Ayomide Akinola
27'
-
Brenden Aaronson
50'
-
Roberto Dominguez
61'