World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Jan 28, 2022 at 12am UK

USA
1 - 0
El Salvador

Robinson (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between USA and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 63.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 14.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.21%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for USA in this match.

Result
USA	Draw	El Salvador
63.53%	22.35%	14.12%

Both teams to score 42.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.74%

54.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35%

75.65%

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.45%

16.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.67%

46.33%

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.65%

49.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.8%

84.2%

Score Analysis

USA 63.53%

El Salvador 14.12%

Draw 22.34%

USA	Draw	El Salvador
1-0 @ 14.69% 2-0 @ 13.21% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 5.59% 4-0 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 1.28% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.54% Total : 63.53%	1-1 @ 10.37% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.34%	0-1 @ 5.77% 1-2 @ 3.66% 0-2 @ 2.04% Other @ 2.65% Total : 14.12%

How you voted: USA vs El Salvador

USA

83.7%

Draw

5.8%

El Salvador

10.5%