World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Jan 28, 2022 at 12am UK
USA1 - 0El Salvador
Robinson (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: USA 1-0 El Salvador
Even though they more than held their own in their last match versus the Americans, El Salvador are a different team away from home, while the United States have squeaked out several points in the Octagon because of their individual quality, which could win them this game as well. Expect to see La Selecta play with a lot of physicality, while trying to throw the skilled Americans off their game with lots of fouls and hacks, but you have to think that the US should still have enough to collect three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 63.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 14.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.21%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for USA in this match.
Result | ||
USA | Draw | El Salvador |
63.53% | 22.35% | 14.12% |
Both teams to score 42.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.74% | 54.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.35% | 75.65% |
USA Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.45% | 16.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.67% | 46.33% |
El Salvador Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.65% | 49.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.8% | 84.2% |
Score Analysis |
USA 63.53%
El Salvador 14.12%
Draw 22.34%
USA | Draw | El Salvador |
1-0 @ 14.69% 2-0 @ 13.21% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 5.59% 4-0 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 1.28% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.54% Total : 63.53% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 5.77% 1-2 @ 3.66% 0-2 @ 2.04% Other @ 2.65% Total : 14.12% |
How you voted: USA vs El Salvador
USA
83.7%Draw
5.8%El Salvador
10.5%86
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2021 3.05am
Third Round
El Salvador
0-0
USA
Dec 10, 2020 12.30am
Friendlies 1
USA
6-0
El Salvador
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-25 00:30:49
10am
Blanch
Nadal
Nadal
10am
Cachin
Ofner
Ofner
10am
Elahi Galan
Bautista-Agut
Bautista-Agut
10am
Gasquet
Sonego
Sonego
10am
Hanfmann
Mensik
Mensik
10am
Koepfer
Carballes Baena
Carballes Baena
10am
Kovacevic
Medjedovic
Medjedovic
10am
Lajovic
Monteiro
Monteiro
10am
Machac
Ruusuvuori
Ruusuvuori
10am
Michelsen
Fonseca
Fonseca
10am
Nishioka
Auger-Aliassime
Auger-Aliassime
10am
O'Connell
Arnaldi
Arnaldi
10am
Purcell
Giron
Giron
10am
Ramos-Vinolas
Kotov
Kotov
10am
Tabilo
Cobolli
Cobolli
10am
Zhizhen
Kecmanovic
Kecmanovic
10am
Azarenka
Maria
Maria
10am
Eala
Cirstea
Cirstea
10am
Annie Fernandez
Potapova
Potapova
10am
Gauff
Rus
Rus
10am
Keys
Camelia-Begu
Camelia-Begu
10am
Podoroska
Navarro
Navarro
10am
Karolina Schmiedlova
Jabeur
Jabeur
10am
Swiatek
Wang
Wang
10am
Baez
Van Assche
Van Assche
10am
Coric
Zverev
Zverev
10am
Martin Etcheverry
Shapovalov
Shapovalov
10am
Humbert
Van De Zandschulp
Van De Zandschulp
10am
Hurkacz
Draper
Draper
10am
Marozsan
Cerundolo
Cerundolo
10am
Paul
Klein
Klein
10am
Rublev
Bagnis
Bagnis
10am
Altmaier
Fils
Fils
10am
Darderi
Fritz
Fritz
10am
Griekspoor
Daniel
Daniel
10am
Munar
Struff
Struff
10am
Musetti
Seyboth Wild
Seyboth Wild
10am
Navone
Rune
Rune
10am
Shevchenko
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
10am
Alexandrova
Krueger
Krueger
10am
Andreeva
Noskova
Noskova
10am
Bejlek
Kalinskaya
Kalinskaya
10am
Boulter
Montgomery
Montgomery
10am
Bronzetti
Rybakina
Rybakina
10am
Collins
Danilovic
Danilovic
3pm
Cristian
Krejcikova
Krejcikova
10am
Dolehide
Kalinina
Kalinina
10am
Garcia
Wang
Wang
10am
Linette
Sabalenka
Sabalenka
10am
Pavlyuchenkova
Saville
Saville
10am
Sorribes Tormo
Svitolina
Svitolina
10am
Vekic
Sakkari
Sakkari
11.30am
Arango
Yastremska
Yastremska
11.30am
Osaka
Samsonova
Samsonova
11.30am
Ostapenko
Bouzas Maneiro
Bouzas Maneiro
1pm
Haddad Maia
Errani
Errani
2.30pm
Lourdes Carle
Kudermetova
Kudermetova
2.30pm
Mertens
Stephens
Stephens
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1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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