Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.2%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.9%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.