World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mar 31, 2022 2.05am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Carlos Uriel 17' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 43' goal
  • Erick Gutierrez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Lemus 13'
  • yellowcard Jairo Henriquez 31'
  • yellowcard Enrico Hernandez 63'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Jose Vigil Acosta 67'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Vigil 67'

Mexico vs El Salvador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Mar 28, 2022 12.05am
Honduras 0 - 1 Mexico

El Salvador

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Mar 27, 2022 10.05pm
El Salvador 1 - 2 Costa Rica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 10.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.51%) and 3-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mexico in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result

Mexico 65.65%
Draw 24.3%
El Salvador 10.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

28.32%

Goals

Over 2.5 32.81%
Under 2.5 67.19%
Over 3.5 14.6%
Under 3.5 85.39%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 79.31%
Under 0.5 20.68%
Over 1.5 46.72%
Under 1.5 53.28%

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5 35.71%
Under 0.5 64.29%
Over 1.5 7.31%
Under 1.5 92.69%

Score analysis

Mexico 65.65%
Draw 24.29%
El Salvador 10.05%
Mexico
1-0 @ 20.95%
2-0 @ 16.51%
3-0 @ 8.67%
2-1 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 3.83%
4-0 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 1.51%
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 65.65%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.29%
1-1 @ 9.26%
2-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.29%
El Salvador
0-1 @ 5.87%
1-2 @ 2.05%
0-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 10.05%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 14, 2021 3.05am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Isaac Portillo 37' yellowcard
  • Mario Alberto Jacobo Segovia 48' redcard
  • Mario Jacobo 48' redcard
  • yellowcard Hirving Lozano 27'
  • goal Hector Moreno 30'
  • yellowcard Nestor Araujo 56'
  • redcard Nestor Araujo 67'
  • yellowcard Hector Moreno 75'
  • yellowcard Raul Jimenez 78'
  • goal Raul Jimenez 90'+3'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 19, 2021 3.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luis Rodriguez 26' goal
  • Luis Rodriguez 70' yellowcard
  • Carlos Salcedo 70' yellowcard
  • Alan Pulido 78' yellowcard
  • Hector Herrera 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darwin Ceren 2'
  • yellowcard Narciso Orellana 63'