Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.