Angola head into the clash on a better run of results and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we fancy them to emerge victorious, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.