World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Oct 11, 2021 at 2pm UK

Gabon
2 - 0
Angola

Aubameyang (74'), Carneiro (84' og.)
Madinda (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Papel (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Gabon and Angola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Angola had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Angola win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gabon would win this match.

Result
Gabon	Draw	Angola
47.17%	26.34%	26.49%

Both teams to score 49.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.12%

54.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.83%

76.17%

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74%

23.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.81%

57.18%

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.02%

35.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.24%

72.75%

Score Analysis

Gabon 47.16%

Angola 26.49%

Draw 26.34%

Gabon	Draw	Angola
1-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 8.9% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.16%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.37% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Gabon vs Angola

Gabon

63.6%

Draw

15.2%

Angola

21.2%