World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Nov 16, 2021 at 4pm UK

CAR
3 - 1
Liberia

Macauley (2'), Wilson (8', 74')
Jamal (30'), Pabai (34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ngoma (61')
Ndobe (22'), Pirioua (34'), Yangao (72'), Namnganda (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Central African Republic and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Central African Republic	Draw	Liberia
36.93%	22.98%	40.08%

Both teams to score 65.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.2%

35.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.13%

57.87%

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13%

19.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.03%

51.97%

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.57%

18.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.4%

49.6%

Score Analysis

Central African Republic 36.93%

Liberia 40.09%

Draw 22.97%

Central African Republic	Draw	Liberia
2-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.93%	1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.84% 0-0 @ 3.66% 3-3 @ 2.08% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 8.46% 0-1 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.73% Total : 40.09%