International Friendly

Jun 3, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Ecuador
1 - 0
Nigeria

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's International Friendlies clash between Ecuador and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

Last Six:

Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Nigeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Mauritius vs. Nigeria
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ecuador in this match.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Nigeria
37.27% ( -0.93)	27.14% ( 0.08)	35.59% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07% (

-0.25)

54.93% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.78% (

-0.21)

76.21% (

0.21)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54% (

-0.67)

28.45% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.78% (

-0.84)

64.22% (

0.84)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.53% (

0.41)

29.47% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.52% (

0.5)

65.48% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Ecuador 37.27%

Nigeria 35.58%

Draw 27.13%

Ecuador	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.27%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.58%