Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fsaolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fniglog_1.png)
-
Victor Osimhen
9'
-
Moses Simon
28'
-
Terem Moffi
43'
-
Victor Osimhen
48'
-
Peter Etebo
55'
-
Ola Aina
58'
-
Terem Moffi
60'
-
Ademola Lookman
63'
-
Victor Osimhen
65'
-
Victor Osimhen
84'
-
Emmanuel Dennis
90'+2'
Sao Tome & Principe vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F27%2Fnigcam.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Sao Tome & Principe win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%).
Result
Sao Tome & Principe
34.58%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
24.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Nigeria
40.9%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
59.16%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.29%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
43.71%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
33.9%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
66.1%
▲
(+0.05)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5
75.29%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
24.7%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
40.75%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
59.24%
▲
(+0.12)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5
78.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
21.43%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
45.56%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
54.44%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Sao Tome & Principe
34.58%
Draw
24.52%
Nigeria
40.9%
Sao Tome & Principe
2-1
@
7.97%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1% ▲ (+99.00)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.58%
1-0 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1% ▲ (+99.00)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.58%
Draw
1-1
@
11.4%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.52%
2-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.52%
Nigeria
1-2
@
8.78%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 40.9%
0-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 40.9%