Peru vs Ecuador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.