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World Cup

Colombia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2021 at 10pm UK
colombia
Ecuador national football team

Colombia
0 - 0
Ecuador

FT

Estupinan (54'), Mena (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
ColombiaDrawEcuador
59.11%25.06%15.83%
Both teams to score 39.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.18%60.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.14%80.85%
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36%20.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79%53.2%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.15%50.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.76%85.23%
Score Analysis
    Colombia 59.09%
    Ecuador 15.83%
    Draw 25.06%
ColombiaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 16.55%
2-0 @ 13.06%
2-1 @ 8.84%
3-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 4.65%
4-0 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 59.09%
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 2.99%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.1%
1-2 @ 3.79%
0-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 15.83%

How you voted: Colombia vs Ecuador

Colombia
81.7%
Draw
9.9%
Ecuador
8.5%
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