World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 2, 2021 at 10pm UK

Ecuador
2 - 0
Paraguay

Torres (87'), Estrada (90+5')
Estupinan (34'), Rojas (56'), Estrada (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morel (37'), Alonso (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Paraguay
39.07%	28.46%	32.46%

Both teams to score 46.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.77%

60.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.58%

80.41%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02%

29.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.91%

66.09%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.75%

34.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.05%

70.95%

Score Analysis

Ecuador 39.07%

Paraguay 32.46%

Draw 28.45%

Ecuador	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 12.36% 2-1 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.49% Total : 39.07%	1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.45%	0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.3% Total : 32.46%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Paraguay

Ecuador

49.0%

Draw

25.5%

Paraguay