Copa America

Copa America | Quarter-Finals

Jul 4, 2021 at 2am UK

Argentina
3 - 0
Ecuador

De Paul (40'), Martinez (84'), Messi (90+3')
Otamendi (45+4'), Gonzalez (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preciado (20'), Franco (31'), Estupinan (44')
Hincapie (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa America clash between Argentina and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Ecuador could line up for Sunday's Copa America clash with Argentina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 54.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Ecuador
54.43%	24.91%	20.66%

Both teams to score 47.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.55%

54.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.19%

75.81%

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.03%

19.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.86%

52.14%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.78%

41.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.25%

77.74%

Score Analysis

Argentina 54.42%

Ecuador 20.66%

Draw 24.9%

Argentina	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 13.25% 2-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 5.08% 4-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.42%	1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 8.23% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.3% 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 3.23% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.66%