World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Jun 4, 2021 at 1am UK

Argentina
1 - 1
Chile

Messi (23' pen.)
Martinez (43'), Romero (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sanchez (36')
Galdames (2'), Aranguiz (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for their CONMEBOL FIFA World Cup qualifier with Chile on Friday.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Chile had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Chile
56.05%	24.68%	19.26%

Both teams to score 45.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.79%

55.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.55%

76.44%

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.37%

19.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.41%

51.58%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.81%

43.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.55%

79.45%

Score Analysis

Argentina 56.04%

Chile 19.26%

Draw 24.67%

Argentina	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 13.8% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 5.12% 4-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 2.08% Other @ 3.64% Total : 56.04%	1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 7.12% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.82% Total : 19.26%