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Ecuador national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 23, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
Peru national football team

Ecuador
2 - 2
Peru

Tapia (23' og.), Preciado (45+3')
Hincapie (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lapadula (49'), Carrillo (54')
Ramos (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa America clash between Ecuador and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Peru could line up for Wednesday's Copa America clash with Ecuador.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Peru had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
EcuadorDrawPeru
42.9%24%33.1%
Both teams to score 60.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.32%41.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.92%64.08%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34%19.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36%51.64%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39%24.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89%59.1%
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 42.9%
    Peru 33.1%
    Draw 24%
EcuadorDrawPeru
2-1 @ 8.97%
1-0 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 42.9%
1-1 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-1 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.1%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Peru

Ecuador
29.2%
Draw
13.9%
Peru
56.9%
137
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-2
Peru
Plata (90+2')
Caicedo (28'), Dominguez (79')
Cueva (63'), Advincula (88')
Advincula (22'), Lapadula (26'), Aquino (90+3')
Sep 6, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Peru
0-1
Ecuador

Gonzales (43'), Trauco (88')
Castillo (47')
Arreaga (22'), Estrada (27')
Nov 16, 2018 1.30am
International Friendlies
Peru
0-2
Ecuador
Valencia (47'), Valencia (74')
Orejuela (36'), Gruezo (41')
Sep 5, 2017 10pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-2
Peru
Valencia (79' pen.)
Flores (73'), Hurtado (76')
rhs 2.0
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11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
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