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World Cup

Peru national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2020 at 12.30am UK
 
Argentina national football team

Peru
0 - 2
Argentina


Aquino (29'), Trauco (34'), Gallese (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gonzalez (17'), Martinez (28')
Otamendi (60'), Lo Celso (73'), Ocampos (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Peru and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
PeruDrawArgentina
19.31%21.79%58.89%
Both teams to score 54.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53%43.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14%65.86%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68%36.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9%73.1%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57%14.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.65%42.35%
Score Analysis
    Peru 19.32%
    Argentina 58.89%
    Draw 21.79%
PeruDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 5.31%
2-1 @ 5.2%
2-0 @ 2.69%
3-1 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 19.32%
1-1 @ 10.27%
0-0 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 10.14%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-2 @ 9.82%
1-3 @ 6.42%
0-3 @ 6.34%
2-3 @ 3.25%
1-4 @ 3.11%
0-4 @ 3.07%
2-4 @ 1.57%
1-5 @ 1.2%
0-5 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 58.89%

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