Brazil vs Ecuador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.81%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.