World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Jun 5, 2021 at 1.30am UK

Brazil
2 - 0
Ecuador

Richarlison (65'), Neymar (90+4' pen.)
Fred (36'), Fred (37'), Militao (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preciado (26'), Preciado (27'), Valencia (54'), Valencia (55'), Preciado (69'), Dominguez Carabali (90+2'), Dominguez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for their CONMEBOL FIFA World Cup qualifier with Ecuador on Saturday.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.81%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
Brazil	Draw	Ecuador
65.62%	22.47%	11.91%

Both teams to score 36.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.25%

58.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.72%

79.28%

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.57%

17.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.13%

47.87%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.29%

55.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.7%

88.3%

Score Analysis

Brazil 65.61%

Ecuador 11.91%

Draw 22.47%

Brazil	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 16.96% 2-0 @ 14.81% 2-1 @ 8.67% 3-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 5.05% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.72% Total : 65.61%	1-1 @ 9.92% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 2.54% Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.47%	0-1 @ 5.68% 1-2 @ 2.9% 0-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 1.66% Total : 11.91%