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Angel Mena
14'
-
Carlos Gruezo
38'
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Michael Estrada
45'+3'
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Michael Estrada
52'
-
Gonzalo Plata
75'
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Diego Palacios
83'
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Luis Suarez
83'
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Luis Suarez
90'+5'
Ecuador vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result
Ecuador
28.71%
Draw
27.09%
Uruguay
44.2%
Both Teams to Score:
48.46%
Goals
Over 2.5
43.53%
Under 2.5
56.47%
Over 3.5
22.52%
Under 3.5
77.47%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5
64.96%
Under 0.5
35.04%
Over 1.5
28.21%
Under 1.5
71.79%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
74.6%
Under 0.5
25.4%
Over 1.5
39.79%
Under 1.5
60.21%
Score analysis
Ecuador
28.71%
Draw
27.09%
Uruguay
44.19%
Ecuador
1-0
@
9.33%
2-1 @ 6.71%
2-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 28.71%
2-1 @ 6.71%
2-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 28.71%
Draw
1-1
@
12.79%
0-0 @ 8.9%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.09%
0-0 @ 8.9%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.09%
Uruguay
0-1
@
12.19%
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 8.36%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 44.19%
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 8.36%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 44.19%
Jose Quinteros
24'