World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 8, 2020 at 11.45pm UK

Uruguay
2 - 1
Chile

Suarez (39' pen.), Gomez (90+3')
Coates (55'), Bentancur (59'), Gomez (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sanchez (54')
Sierralta (75'), Baeza (90+1')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage clash between Uruguay and Chile.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Chile had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Chile win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Chile
40.55%	26.94%	32.51%

Both teams to score 50.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.39%

54.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.05%

75.95%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55%

26.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.38%

61.62%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69%

31.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.33%

67.67%

Score Analysis

Uruguay 40.55%

Chile 32.51%

Draw 26.93%

Uruguay	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.55%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.51%