Copa America

Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 22, 2021 at 1am UK

Argentina
1 - 0
Paraguay

Papu (10')
Paredes (34')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomez (16'), Cardozo (78')

Reaction

Argentina captain Lionel Messi pictured on June 19, 2021

Lionel Messi equals Argentina record in Copa America win

Argentina and Barcelona striker Lionel Messi equals Javier Mascherano's record of 147 appearances in the blue and white of Argentina, and is likely to beat it on Tuesday.

Jun 22, 12:20

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa America clash between Argentina and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paraguay could line up for Tuesday's Copa America clash with Argentina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Paraguay
50.74%	26.16%	23.1%

Both teams to score 46.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.32%

56.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.36%

77.64%

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58%

22.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.06%

55.94%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.98%

40.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.33%

76.67%

Score Analysis

Argentina 50.73%

Paraguay 23.1%

Draw 26.16%

Argentina	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 13.41% 2-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.85% Total : 50.73%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 8.97% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.28% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.34% Total : 23.1%