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World Cup

Argentina national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 13, 2020 at 12am UK
 
Paraguay national football team

Argentina
1 - 1
Paraguay

Gonzalez (41')
De Paul (45'), Montiel (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Romero (21' pen.)
Romero (30'), Cardozo (47'), Perez (76'), Almiron (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Argentina and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.4%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
ArgentinaDrawParaguay
63.5%23.54%12.96%
Both teams to score 36.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.71%60.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.54%80.46%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24%18.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.85%50.15%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.15%54.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.21%87.79%
Score Analysis
    Argentina 63.49%
    Paraguay 12.96%
    Draw 23.53%
ArgentinaDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 17.21%
2-0 @ 14.4%
2-1 @ 8.65%
3-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 4.83%
4-0 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.45%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 63.49%
1-1 @ 10.34%
0-0 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 2.6%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 3.11%
0-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 12.96%

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