Copa America

Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 19, 2021 at 1am UK

Argentina
1 - 0
Uruguay

Rodriguez (13')
Lo Celso (48'), Martinez (75'), Correa (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Torreira (62'), Ocampo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa America clash between Argentina and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Uruguay could line up for Saturday's Copa America clash with Argentina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

Last Game: Angola 0-2 Argentina
Friday, November 14 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	17	22	38
2	Ecuador	17	8	29
3	Brazil	17	8	28
4	Uruguay	17	10	27
5	Colombia	17	7	25
6	Paraguay	17	3	25
7	Venezuela	17	-7	18
8	Bolivia	17	-19	17
9	Peru	17	-14	12
10	Chile	17	-18	10

Uruguay

All competitions

Last Game: USA 5-1 Uruguay
Wednesday, November 19 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	17	22	38
2	Ecuador	17	8	29
3	Brazil	17	8	28
4	Uruguay	17	10	27
5	Colombia	17	7	25
6	Paraguay	17	3	25
7	Venezuela	17	-7	18
8	Bolivia	17	-19	17
9	Peru	17	-14	12
10	Chile	17	-18	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Uruguay
41.85%	25.88%	32.26%

Both teams to score 53.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.64%

50.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.7%

72.3%

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14%

23.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.96%

58.03%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65%

29.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.67%

65.32%

Score Analysis

Argentina 41.85%

Uruguay 32.26%

Draw 25.87%

Argentina	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.85%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 8.58% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.26%