World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2021 at 11pm UK

Paraguay
1 - 1
Colombia

Sanabria (40')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cuadrado (53' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Colombia win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Paraguay	Draw	Colombia
40.74%	25.37%	33.89%

Both teams to score 56.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.28%

47.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.08%

69.91%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75%

23.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.84%

57.16%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97%

27.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.62%

62.38%

Score Analysis

Paraguay 40.74%

Colombia 33.89%

Draw 25.37%

Paraguay	Draw	Colombia
1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.74%	1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.89%

How you voted: Paraguay vs Colombia

Paraguay

17.4%

Draw

26.1%

Colombia

56.5%