World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 5, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Antonio Sanabria 40' goal
  • goal Juan Cuadrado 53'

Paraguay vs Colombia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Sep 2, 2021 10.00pm
Ecuador 2 - 0 Paraguay

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Sep 2, 2021 9.00pm
Bolivia 1 - 1 Colombia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Colombia win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result

Paraguay 40.74%
Draw 25.37%
Colombia 33.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.01%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.28%
Under 2.5 47.72%
Over 3.5 30.08%
Under 3.5 69.91%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 76.75%
Under 0.5 23.24%
Over 1.5 42.84%
Under 1.5 57.16%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5 72.97%
Under 0.5 27.02%
Over 1.5 37.62%
Under 1.5 62.38%

Score analysis

Paraguay 40.74%
Draw 25.37%
Colombia 33.89%
Paraguay
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 6.69%
3-1 @ 4.26%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.37%
Colombia
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.38%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.89%

Head to Head

Copa America
Jun 23, 2019 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Itaipava Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
  • Cristian Borja 29' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Cuellar 31' goal
  • Jhon Lucumi 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Arzamendia 49'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 6, 2017 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
  • Radamel Falcao 79' goal
  • goal Oscar Cardozo 89'
  • goal Antonio Sanabria 92'