Copa America
Jun 25, 2021 1.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ben Brereton 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gary Medel 56' yellowcard
  • Claudio Bravo 58' yellowcard
  • goal Braian Samudio 33'
  • goal Miguel Almiron 58'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 78'

Chile vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
Copa America
Last game
Jun 21, 2021 10.00pm
Uruguay 1 - 1 Chile

Paraguay

All competitions
Copa America
Last game
Jun 22, 2021 1.00am
Argentina 1 - 0 Paraguay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Chile 39.21%
Draw 29.33%
Paraguay 31.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.44%

Goals

Over 2.5 36.68%
Under 2.5 63.31%
Over 3.5 17.31%
Under 3.5 82.69%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 68.56%
Under 0.5 31.44%
Over 1.5 32.18%
Under 1.5 67.82%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 63.36%
Under 0.5 36.63%
Over 1.5 26.57%
Under 1.5 73.42%

Score analysis

Chile 39.2%
Draw 29.32%
Paraguay 31.45%
Chile
1-0 @ 13.32%
2-1 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.32%
Paraguay
0-1 @ 11.56%
1-2 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 31.45%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Aug 31, 2017 11.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental David Arellano
  • goal Arturo Vidal 24' (OG)
  • goal Victor Caceres 55'
  • goal Richard Ortiz 92'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups